USC
W-L: ( 9- 4) PR = 87.5338Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Missouri St ( 7- 6, 70.3) 73-13 906 H Georgia So SUN ( 8- 6, 71.2) 59-20 913 A Purdue B10 ( 2-10, 72.3) 33-17 920 H Michigan St B10 ( 4- 8, 74.1) 45-31 927 A Illinois B10 ( 9- 4, 83.8) 32-34 1011 H Michigan B10 ( 9- 4, 84.2) 31-13 1018 A Notre Dame IND (10- 2, 94.1) 24-34 1101 A Nebraska B10 ( 7- 6, 78.3) 21-17 1107 H Northwestern B10 ( 7- 6, 79.1) 38-17 1115 H Iowa B10 ( 9- 4, 88.5) 26-21 1122 A Oregon B10 (13- 2, 95.6) 27-42 1129 H UCLA B10 ( 3- 9, 75.2) 29-10 1230 N TCU B12 ( 9- 4, 84.0) 27-30
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 H Missouri St 73-13 60 22 0.00
906 H Georgia So 59-20 39 22 0.00
913 A Purdue 33-17 16 10 ++ 4.03
920 H Michigan St 45-31 14 19 0.00
927 A Illinois 32-34 -2 -2 -0.43
1011 H Michigan 31-13 18 9 ++ 5.44
1018 A Notre Dame 24-34 -10 -12 1.81
1101 A Nebraska 21-17 4 4 0.01
1107 H Northwestern 38-17 21 14 0.35
1115 H Iowa 26-21 5 4 0.67
1122 A Oregon 27-42 -15 -13 -0.66
1129 H UCLA 29-10 19 18 0.00
1230 N TCU 27-30 -3 4 --- -6.57
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1230 N TCU 27-30 -3 4 --- -6.57 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 913 A Purdue 33-17 16 10 ++ 4.03 1011 H Michigan 31-13 18 9 ++ 5.44 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Missouri St ( 7- 6, 70.3) 73-13 -29.57 21.65 -5.26 0.98 32.16
3 H Georgia So ( 8- 6, 71.2) 59-20 -28.70 22.52 -5.26 0.98 33.86
3 A Purdue ( 2-10, 72.3) 33-17 -27.59 23.63 5.26 0.98 56.66
3 H Michigan St ( 4- 8, 74.1) 45-31 -25.76 25.46 -5.26 0.98 39.62
3 A Illinois ( 9- 4, 83.8) 32-34 -16.06 35.16 5.26 0.98 -5.30
3 H Michigan ( 9- 4, 84.2) 31-13 -15.66 35.56 -5.26 0.98 59.43
3 A Notre Dame (10- 2, 94.1) 24-34 -5.82 45.40 5.26 0.98 -0.27
3 A Nebraska ( 7- 6, 78.3) 21-17 -21.62 29.60 5.26 0.98 68.39
3 H Northwestern ( 7- 6, 79.1) 38-17 -20.75 30.47 -5.26 0.98 49.44
3 H Iowa ( 9- 4, 88.5) 26-21 -11.44 39.78 -5.26 0.98 67.71
3 A Oregon (13- 2, 95.6) 27-42 -4.28 46.94 5.26 0.98 -0.48
3 H UCLA ( 3- 9, 75.2) 29-10 -24.74 26.48 -5.26 0.98 41.63
3 N TCU ( 9- 4, 84.0) 27-30 -15.93 35.29 -0.00 0.98 -7.81
------
435.04
|
winning pts = 448.8996 losing points = -13.8623
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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